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LDP Leadership Race Opens With Five Candidates as Koizumi and Takaichi Lead

Markets are watching fiscal and BOJ signals ahead of the Oct. 4 party vote.

Overview

  • Official campaigning began on Sept. 22 with five contenders to succeed outgoing Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba.
  • The Oct. 4 leadership vote is limited to LDP lawmakers and dues-paying members, and the winner is expected to be nominated for prime minister in a parliamentary vote.
  • Shinjiro Koizumi pledges wage-led growth, targeting a one million yen average annual pay rise by fiscal 2030, and plans a supplementary budget and possible abolition of the provisional gasoline tax.
  • Koizumi has secured backing from senior figures including Taro Kono and Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato, who will run his campaign.
  • Sanae Takaichi, a conservative seen as favoring fiscal stimulus, could become Japan’s first female prime minister, with polls placing her and Koizumi as the front-runners.