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LDP Approval Drops to 24% as Upper House Majority Hangs in Balance

Low public support for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba paired with narrow edges in key contests casts doubt on the coalition’s control of the upper house.

Japan's Prime Minister and Liberal Democratic Party President Shigeru Ishiba arrives for a debate with leaders of eight political parties at the Japan National Press Club in Tokyo, Japan, July 2, 2025. Tomohiro Ohsumi/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba holds a press conference after the G7 Leaders' Summit, in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, June 17, 2025. REUTERS/Todd Korol/File Photo
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Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba answers questions during a budget committee session of the House of Councillors at parliament in Tokyo on June 2, 2025. (Photo by Kazuhiro NOGI / AFP) (Photo by KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images)

Overview

  • A recent NHK survey records the Liberal Democratic Party’s approval at 24 percent, its lowest level since 2012.
  • Prime Minister Ishiba’s personal approval stands at 31 percent, indicating limited voter confidence.
  • The LDP-Komeito coalition holds 140 upper-house seats but leads in only nine of 32 single-seat races, threatening its 125-seat majority.
  • Senior lawmaker Yosuke Tsuruho resigned as Budget Committee head after calling the Noto Peninsula earthquake a “fortunate” opportunity.
  • Proportional representation polls project Komeito winning around ten seats while 33.7 percent of voters remain undecided and the CDP holds 7.8 percent support.