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LDP and Ishin Seal Coalition Deal With Out-of-Cabinet Support, Setting Stage for Takaiichi

The pact is expected to ease Takaiichi Sanae’s election as prime minister in Tuesday’s Diet vote.

Overview

  • LDP leader Sanae Takaiichi and Ishin leader Hirofumi Yoshimura signed a coalition agreement at the Diet on Oct. 20, with Ishin providing support without entering the cabinet and a proposal floated to name Ishin’s Takashi Endo as a prime minister’s adviser.
  • The agreement targets about a 10% cut to Lower House seats via a member bill to be submitted in the current extraordinary session, alongside creation of a joint forum on electoral reform.
  • Policy plans include passing a bill this session to abolish the gasoline surtax and pursuing legislation next year to establish a “vice capital,” with details to be developed by a project team.
  • Food purchases could be set to a zero consumption tax for up to two years subject to further study, while the handling of corporate and group donations is deferred to a decision during Takaiichi’s term.
  • Both parties will set up a drafting council on constitutional revisions including Article 9, the LDP–Ishin alignment brings the Lower House close to a majority though the Upper House remains short, and reactions range from Komeito’s sharp objections to mixed voter views in regions such as Kyushu.