Overview
- The Jaguars visit the Bengals at Paycor Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 4, with both teams holding 2-1 records in Week 4.
- Trevor Lawrence can record his first career win versus Cincinnati after a sustained hot stretch that has Jacksonville winning 10 of 11 regular-season games since Week 11 of 2025.
- Both starters are producing strong numbers this season with Joe Burrow completing 70.9% of his passes for 743 yards and six touchdowns and Lawrence at 66.7% with 616 yards and seven touchdowns through three games.
- Cincinnati brings a disruptive pass rush that ranks seventh in quarterback pressure rate but has a weak run defense that allows 4.7 yards per carry and faces secondary lineup changes after Jalen Davis went to IR and Bryan Cook was listed questionable.
- Pre-game models give Jacksonville roughly a 54–55% win probability and expert picks are split, making this a close early-season barometer that could shape short-term AFC pecking order depending on how Jacksonville attacks the run and how Cincinnati gets pressure on the quarterbacks.