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4h ago

Latino Voters Swing Back to Democrats in 2025 Elections

Economic strain combined with opposition to aggressive immigration enforcement drove the shift.

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Erik Muñoz, a Republican precinct chair in Pasadena, helps set up a polling place at a Baker Ripley center in Houston, Monday, Nov. 3, 2025. Muñoz is a longtime Republican and considers himself a supporter of President Donald Trump, but said he has not been thrilled with all of the president's actions so far in his second term. 
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Overview

  • In New Jersey and Virginia, exit polls show Democrats winning large Latino majorities, with Mikie Sherrill at 68% and Abigail Spanberger at 67%, as heavily Latino areas like Passaic County flipped back to Democrats.
  • CBS precinct and voter-file analysis indicates the swing reflected turnout churn, with some 2024 Trump-supporting Latinos staying home, some crossing over, and new or returning voters backing Democrats.
  • A UnidosUS bipartisan survey in October found about 19% of Texas Latinos who voted for Trump in 2024 would not do so again, with cost of living, health care, housing and wages cited as top concerns.
  • The same poll reported 73% of Texas Latino voters oppose the Supreme Court decision allowing ICE to use appearance, language or work as grounds for arrests, and 64% blamed Republicans for the prolonged government shutdown.
  • California’s Proposition 50, a pro-Democratic redistricting measure, passed with roughly 70% Latino support, signaling potential trouble for GOP mapping strategies heading into 2026.