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1h ago

Latino Vote Snaps Back to Democrats in 2025 State Races

Economic strain drove the shift, pollsters say.

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Erik Muñoz, a Republican precinct chair in Pasadena, helps set up a polling place at a Baker Ripley center in Houston, Monday, Nov. 3, 2025. Muñoz is a longtime Republican and considers himself a supporter of President Donald Trump, but said he has not been thrilled with all of the president's actions so far in his second term. 
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Overview

  • CBS exit polls show Democrats winning large Latino majorities in New Jersey and Virginia, including 68% for Mikie Sherrill and 67% for Abigail Spanberger.
  • Precinct and voter-file data indicate both defections and turnout churn, with heavily Latino areas such as Passaic County flipping back after backing Trump in 2024.
  • A UnidosUS survey finds 19% of Texas Latinos who supported Trump in 2024 now say they would not vote for him again.
  • The same poll reports 64% blame Republicans for the ongoing shutdown and 81% worry the Republican-led Congress is not checking the president.
  • Latino respondents expressed backlash to immigration enforcement, with 73% of Texas Latinos opposing the Supreme Court’s ICE arrest guidance, while GOP figures warn the party’s gains may not hold into 2026.