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2h ago

Latino and Black Voters Fuel Democratic Wins in NJ and VA, Forcing GOP Rethink

Fresh exit polls show Latino and Black voters returning to Democrats, raising alarms for GOP strategy heading into 2026.

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NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 23: Supporters of former President Donald Trump watch as he holds a rally in the historical Democratic district of the South Bronx on May 23, 2024 in New York City. The Bronx, home to a large Latino community, has been a Democratic base for generations of voters and the rally comes as Trump looks to attract more non-white voters. A Manhattan jury is set to begin deliberations on whether to convict Trump of felony charges in his criminal hush money trial. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
President Donald Trump meets with Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban in the Cabinet Room of the White House, Friday, Nov. 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Overview

  • AP/Fox News voter analyses report Latinos backed Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey by 68% and Abigail Spanberger in Virginia by 67%, reversing much of Trump’s 2024 gains.
  • Black voters overwhelmingly supported the Democrats, with Spanberger winning about 93% in Virginia and Sherrill about 94% in New Jersey.
  • AP‑NORC polling shows Trump’s approval with Latino voters fell from roughly 44% to 25% by late October, signaling a sharp erosion since 2024.
  • Republican figures publicly called the results a wake‑up call, with Florida Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar warning that Latinos are leaving the party.
  • Analysts tie the shift to backlash over immigration enforcement, cost‑of‑living worries, and stronger outreach by moderate Democratic candidates, with warnings about consequences for 2026 contests and Texas redistricting plans.