Overview

• The Forsa survey of 2,502 eligible voters conducted July 15–21 shows both the Alternative für Deutschland and the CDU/CSU at 25% support, reversing a slight Union lead in June.
• An Insa poll for Bild finds the Union at 27.5% and the AfD at 24%, illustrating variation between major polling institutes.
• Only 11% of respondents trust the AfD to address Germany’s challenges compared with 23% who back the Union’s problem-solving competence.
• Chancellor Friedrich Merz is rated as a strong leader by 54% of Germans but trusted by just 29%, highlighting a gap between perceived strength and reliability.
• The SPD holds steady at 13% support, the Greens and Left Party each at 12%, while BSW and FDP remain below the 5% threshold at 4% and 3%, respectively.