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Late-October Atmospheric River to Soak Pacific Northwest With Heavy Rain, Mountain Snow and High Winds

CPC highlights the greatest risk late next week for northern California and southern Oregon, with flooding and travel disruptions possible.

Overview

  • NOAA and NWS say a true atmospheric river is likely to arrive late next week, with guidance focusing on October 24–27 and CPC outlooks extending impacts through October 25–31.
  • Forecasters expect widespread heavy precipitation from northern California through Oregon and Washington, with heavy mountain snow in the Sierra Nevada, Cascades and parts of the northern Rockies.
  • CPC’s Probabilistic Hazards Outlook flags a high risk of heavy precipitation October 25–26 in northern and central California and southern Oregon, with moderate risk extending north through October 28.
  • Flood potential is elevated for western Washington, Oregon and northwestern California, and coastal and high terrain areas may see hazardous winds, with gusts locally exceeding about 37 mph.
  • Models also suggest the moisture plume could progress across the central U.S. toward the Great Lakes around October 27, indicating a possible late-October storm for Michigan that remains uncertain.