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Land Drying Exceeds Glacier Melt as Main Driver of Sea Level Rise

Shedding freshwater at twice California’s size annually, continents rely more on aquifer depletion than glacier melt to drive sea level rise.

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Fallow crop field on farm near Maricopa, Kern County, Calif.
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Overview

  • A July 2025 Science Advances study using 2002–24 GRACE/GRACE-FO satellite data finds terrestrial water loss now surpasses glacier melt in fueling global sea level rise.
  • Dry land areas are expanding by roughly twice the size of California each year as climate change and extreme droughts accelerate continental drying.
  • Researchers have mapped four interconnected northern hemisphere “mega-dry” regions, including a continuous zone from the US Southwest through Central America.
  • Groundwater depletion accounts for 68% of total land water loss, exceeding contributions from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets combined.
  • Freshwater reserves are shrinking in 101 countries, placing 75% of the world’s population at risk and highlighting the need for immediate sustainable water management policies.