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Lancet Study Projects 14 Million Excess Deaths From USAID Cuts

Held during a UN conference that the U.S. chose to skip, the study highlights the need to restore USAID funding to avert a humanitarian crisis.

Congolese refugees look through a corrugated metal fence at the final batches of food delivered by the now-dismantled United States Agency for International Development (USAID) in a storage and food delivery area at the Musenyi refugee site in Giharo, on May 7.
FILE - Former President George W. Bush attends a baseball game, May 15, 2025, in Arlington, Texas. (AP Photo/LM Otero, File)

Overview

  • The Lancet analysis forecasts that Trump administration cuts eliminating 83% of USAID programs could cause over 14 million additional deaths by 2030, including 4.5 million children under five.
  • Researchers found that from 2001 to 2021, USAID-funded initiatives prevented nearly 92 million deaths across 133 countries by combating HIV/AIDS, diarrheal diseases, malaria and tuberculosis.
  • Following the U.S. lead, Germany, the UK and France have announced their own foreign aid reductions, deepening a widening gap in global humanitarian funding.
  • Legal challenges brought by government and foreign service workers contend the executive branch lacks the authority to dismantle a congressionally created agency.
  • World leaders in Seville adopted nonbinding pledges to shore up international aid even as the United States remains absent from the talks.