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Lancet Countdown 2025 Finds Record Health Toll From Heat and Pollution as Fossil Finance Grows

A new Lancet assessment ties fossil‑fuel policy to rising deaths alongside mounting economic losses.

Overview

  • Heat-related mortality now averages about 546,000 deaths a year, up 23% since the 1990s, with 2024 delivering a record surge in dangerous hot days.
  • Air pollution linked to fossil fuels causes roughly 2.5 million deaths annually, and wildfire smoke was associated with a record 154,000 deaths in 2024.
  • Extreme heat drove an estimated 639 billion lost labor hours in 2024, costing about US$1 trillion globally, with India alone losing 247 billion hours and US$194 billion.
  • Governments paid about US$2.5 billion per day in fossil-fuel subsidies in 2023 as major producers increased projected output through March 2025 and top banks lent US$611 billion to the sector in 2024.
  • The report flags rising disease risks such as a 49% increase in dengue transmission potential since the 1950s, warns adaptation finance remains grossly insufficient, and notes coal declines prevented about 160,000 premature deaths per year during 2010–2022.