Overview
- The Savanta poll for Centre for London puts Labour on 32% in the capital, Reform UK on 23%, the Conservatives on 20%, the Liberal Democrats on 11% and the Greens on 10%.
- Reform UK leads among Londoners aged 65 and over with 35%, compared with 32% for the Conservatives and 14% for Labour, and it draws level with Labour among those aged 55 to 64.
- The 32% reading is the joint lowest level for Labour that Savanta has recorded since it began tracking London in 2020, down from 43% at the 2024 general election.
- Savanta’s Chris Hopkins says the figures point to potential Labour seat losses in next year’s London local elections if replicated, with Reform emerging as a new force in the capital.
- Centre for London links the shift to economic pressures and high housing costs, while separate reporting ahead of the Budget cites unconfirmed plans such as a ‘mansion tax’, frozen income tax thresholds and limits on salary‑sacrifice pensions that critics say would hit London hard.