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Labour Links Brexit and Farage to Weak Economy as Budget Choices Loom

An expected OBR productivity downgrade leaving a £20bn to £30bn gap has prompted talk of tax increases.

Overview

  • Wes Streeting said he is glad ministers can now acknowledge Brexit as part of the UK’s economic problems, calling the situation one of “enormous” jeopardy.
  • Reports indicate the prime minister and chancellor plan to argue in the November Budget that Brexit, championed by Nigel Farage, underlies weaker growth and potential tax rises.
  • Treasury officials expect the OBR to cut productivity forecasts, creating a fiscal shortfall that ministers are preparing to address in next month’s plans.
  • Options being weighed reportedly include an income tax rise, which would breach Labour’s pledge not to increase income tax, VAT or national insurance.
  • The Independent has reported a roughly 5% drop in EU trade since Brexit costing UK businesses about £37bn a year, as Reform UK’s Richard Tice denounces Labour’s strategy as hypocritical.