Overview

• Public broadcaster NRK projects 89 seats for the centre-left versus 80 for the right, keeping Labour in position to lead the 169-seat Storting.
• Sylvi Listhaug’s Progress Party registers major gains and emerges as the dominant force on the right, while Erna Solberg’s Conservatives sink to multi‑year lows.
• Jonas Gahr Støre would still require support from four progressive partners, with talks strained by splits over new oil exploration and calls to divest the sovereign wealth fund from Israeli companies.
• Analysts link Labour’s late momentum to Jens Stoltenberg’s move to the finance ministry, elevating security alongside cost‑of‑living concerns in voters’ priorities.
• Final counting and coalition negotiations follow the projections, with taxation, public services, energy policy and defence expected to shape any governing deal.