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3w ago

Labor Maintains Lead as Federal Election Campaign Enters Final Days

Anthony Albanese's Labor Party holds a 53–47 advantage in two-party polling, while Peter Dutton's Coalition banks on One Nation preferences and late shifts in key seats.

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A sign supporting Peter Dutton and the LNP on a fence in the suburb of Samford, Brisbane on April 23.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Labor Candidate Tu Le take a selfie with members of the public during a visit to Freedom Plaza in the electorate of Fowler in Sydney, Australia, on April 28.

Overview

  • Labor leads the Coalition 53–47 in two-party preferred polling, with Albanese ahead of Dutton 47–31 as preferred prime minister.
  • Peter Dutton has shifted campaign focus to cultural issues, including criticism of Welcome to Country ceremonies, but faces backlash and disrupted events.
  • Record early voting turnout of 3.2 million reflects heightened voter engagement ahead of the May 3 election.
  • One Nation's preference strategy aims to bolster the Coalition in marginal seats, potentially reshaping the outcome in key electorates.
  • S&P Global warns both major parties' spending commitments could jeopardize Australia's AAA credit rating, adding fiscal scrutiny to the campaign's final stretch.