Overview

• Labor leads the Coalition 53-47 on a two-party preferred basis, with polls suggesting the possibility of a slim majority or a minority government for Anthony Albanese.
• Voter dissatisfaction with Peter Dutton has grown, with 33% of voters citing Donald Trump's policies as a factor reducing their likelihood to support the opposition leader.
• Economic instability driven by US tariffs has intensified debates on cost-of-living measures, a key campaign focus where Albanese is seen as more capable than Dutton.
• Dutton's approval ratings have declined further following policy reversals, including a backtrack on requiring public servants to return to full-time office work.
• Recent surveys show a marked increase in voter confidence in Labor's leadership on issues like emissions reduction, stable governance, and addressing household financial pressures.