Overview
- Factional convenors from Victoria Labor concluded in late meetings that Premier Jacinta Allan does not command a majority of the party’s MPs and have prepared to press her to step aside.
- Party powerbrokers plan to offer Allan the chance to resign before parliament resumes and, if she refuses, to move to a leadership spill at the next caucus meeting.
- Deputy Premier Ben Carroll is widely seen as the probable successor if the leadership becomes vacant, though he has publicly ruled out initiating a challenge.
- Cabinet will meet before the caucus return with a proposal for a new organised crime commission that sources say is being used to show policy momentum and counter public concerns about corruption and crime.
- If caucus forces a spill and Allan contests the result, Labor rules would require a weeks-long vote of the party membership, a process that could reshape campaign strategy ahead of the November election.