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Labor Extends Lead as Coalition Faces Late-Campaign Struggles

Albanese holds a polling advantage while Dutton pivots to culture-war issues and fiscal promises in a bid to sway undecided voters.

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A sign supporting Peter Dutton and the LNP on a fence in the suburb of Samford, Brisbane on April 23.
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Labor Candidate Tu Le take a selfie with members of the public during a visit to Freedom Plaza in the electorate of Fowler in Sydney, Australia, on April 28.

Overview

  • Labor maintains a 53–47 two-party-preferred lead, with Albanese favored as prime minister by 47% to Dutton's 31%.
  • Nineteen percent of voters remain uncommitted, highlighting the potential for late shifts in key electorates as early voting breaks records.
  • The Coalition pledges $40 billion in debt reduction over four years, but both parties face scrutiny from S&P Global over credit-rating risks.
  • Dutton's campaign focus shifts to cultural issues, including criticism of Welcome to Country ceremonies, drawing mixed reactions.
  • Labor strategists express confidence in retaining power, but concerns linger over potential swings in suburban and marginal seats.