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La Niña to Drive Cooler, Wetter November Across Brazil’s Centro-Sul

Forecasts from Climatempo point to stronger cold fronts shaping cooler, wetter conditions in key producing regions.

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Overview

  • Climatempo projects La Niña will dominate November, easing the passage of cold fronts into the South and Southeast with below-normal temperatures and frequent cloudiness and rain.
  • Moisture transported from the North toward the Center-West and Southeast could form one or two corridors that may organize into a South Atlantic Convergence Zone, producing multi-day heavy rainfall.
  • Rainfall is forecast to exceed the monthly average in parts of Paraná, the Southeast, the Center-West, Bahia and the far north, while Rio Grande do Sul tends drier with fewer severe storms.
  • Model-based projections indicate monthly totals could surpass 300 mm in cities such as Belo Horizonte and Brasília, though meteorologists note these amounts carry uncertainty.
  • Forecasters warn of prolonged instability with localized urban flooding risk and advise agricultural producers to track updates to protect crops and manage water resources.