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La Niña Expected to Follow 'Super El Niño' by Fall 2024, Impacting Global Weather

The transition from the current 'super El Niño' to La Niña could lead to more active hurricane seasons and drier conditions in the southern US, while effects of El Niño may persist through April.

Aerial view of the destruction wrought by forest fires in the Valparaiso region of Chile on February 6, 2024.
LAPD firefighters respond to a landslide in the neighborhoods above Beverly Hills that caused two vehicles to be trapped in the mud and forced several residents to evacuate on Feb. 5, 2024. A powerful atmospheric river storm deluged California on Monday with more heavy rain, mudslides, flooding and several feet of snow in the mountains.
Average conditions during an El Niño winter across the continental US.

Overview

  • La Niña is expected to replace the current 'super El Niño' by fall 2024, potentially impacting weather patterns globally.
  • The transition to La Niña could lead to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons and drier conditions in the southern US.
  • Despite the weakening of El Niño, its effects on global weather, including warmer temperatures and storminess, may persist through April 2024.
  • The 'super El Niño' has contributed to record warmth globally, with January 2024 being the warmest January on record.
  • Scientists are closely monitoring the transition from El Niño to La Niña, which could influence the rate of global warming and climate change.