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Kuo Sees Foldable iPhone Hinge at $70–$80 as Foxconn JV Takes Lead

The lower price reflects assembly optimization plus Foxconn’s capacity, signaling tighter control over a critical part ahead of a 2026 push.

Overview

  • TF Securities analyst Ming‑Chi Kuo now pegs the hinge’s average selling price at $70–$80 at mass production, below prior expectations of $100–$120.
  • Kuo says a FoxconnShin Zu Shing joint venture is positioned to supply roughly 65% of hinge orders, with Amphenol at about 35%.
  • He attributes the cost drop to optimized assembly processes and Foxconn’s scale rather than cheaper raw materials.
  • The reduced hinge cost could either support stronger margins or enable a more aggressive price for Apple’s rumored first foldable iPhone.
  • Reports point to a 2026 launch window with test production in Taiwan before a ramp in India, while Luxshare‑ICT may join as a hinge supplier after 2027.