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Krugman Warns Trump Deportation Drive Could Hit Economy Harder Than Tariffs

The Nobel laureate argues that deporting concentrated immigrant labor in agriculture, meatpacking, senior care would trigger sectoral shocks with inflationary fallout.

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Overview

  • Paul Krugman used a Wednesday Substack post to argue the administration is “about to ICE the economy” through an intensified immigration crackdown.
  • He writes that undocumented immigrants make up roughly 5% of the U.S. workforce but are clustered in key industries, amplifying the risk of supply disruptions.
  • Krugman contends that arrests and deportations would ultimately inflict more economic damage than tariffs, worsening consumer price pressures.
  • He cautions that enforcement could also sweep up legal workers, referencing concerns raised by officials’ rhetoric about targeting based on appearance.
  • The warning lands as the administration touts tougher policies and expanded enforcement, with officials publicly urging those in the country illegally to leave.