Overview
- The final Assembly vote on the 2026 Social Security financing bill is set for Tuesday and is projected to be extremely close, with outcomes hinging on only a few votes.
- The Socialist Party will back the text after extracting key concessions, including suspending the pension reform, raising the CSG on capital income, and dropping plans to increase medical co‑payments.
- Édouard Philippe told LCI he recommends Horizons deputies abstain, exposing internal strains, while Les Républicains are largely split between abstention and opposition and Greens weigh a potentially decisive stance.
- The revenue section passed on December 5 by 166–140 with 32 abstentions, a result analysts say reflected opponent absenteeism that may not recur for the decisive vote.
- Officials have ruled out a loi spéciale, ordonnances under article 47.3, and use of 49.3; ministers warn a rejection could fuel political, economic, and social instability, with no automatic resignation planned.