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KeyBanc Reaffirms Overweight on Nvidia as Cramer Defends Huang’s OpenAI Play

KeyBanc’s thesis centers on a GB200/300 ramp, higher rack shipments, rising CoWoS demand, with validation coming on November 19.

Overview

  • On October 6, KeyBanc reiterated Overweight on Nvidia with a $250 price target ahead of the company’s November 19 earnings report.
  • The firm highlights robust near-term hyperscaler demand and a continued GB200/300 ramp as the primary catalysts.
  • KeyBanc models a beat for the quarter, forecasting $56.3 billion in revenue and $1.28 EPS versus consensus at $54.5 billion and $1.24.
  • Operational expectations include roughly 30,000 rack shipments in 2025 (about 10,500 in Q3 and 14,000 in Q4) and a CoWoS outlook of 370,000 interposers in demand against 530,000 in supply.
  • KeyBanc expects resumed RTX6000D shipments to China to lift near-term results, while Jim Cramer publicly backed Jensen Huang on an OpenAI-related 10‑gigawatt deal, saying he believes Nvidia plans a staged $100 billion investment.