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Kenya Mourns Raila Odinga as ODM Succession Battle Looms

ODM’s leadership vacuum now tests party unity and could reshape coalition politics ahead of 2027.

Overview

  • Raila Odinga died on Oct. 15 in India at age 80 of a reported heart attack, was repatriated to Nairobi, and was buried on Oct. 19 in Bondo.
  • A state funeral at Nyayo National Stadium drew huge crowds, with reports of fatalities and many injuries during mourning events, including conflicting accounts of a stampede versus security forces firing on crowds.
  • President William Ruto declared seven days of national mourning and ordered flags at half-mast as global leaders and regional bodies issued tributes to Odinga’s democratic legacy.
  • The Orange Democratic Movement named Odinga’s 82-year-old brother as interim leader, but no consensus successor has emerged and internal debates over strategy are intensifying.
  • Analysts say Ruto loses a key negotiating partner in Parliament as rivals move to court Odinga’s support base, with tensions high but widespread unrest seen as unlikely in the near term.