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Kentucky Seeks First SEC Win as Missouri Visits Rupp Arena

Pre-game metrics lean to Kentucky at Rupp, citing home edge.

Overview

  • Tipoff is 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2 at Rupp Arena in Lexington.
  • Kentucky enters 9-5 and 0-1 in the SEC after an 89-74 loss at Alabama, while Missouri is 11-3 and 1-0 following a 76-74 win over Florida.
  • Missouri regained guards Jayden Stone and Trent Pierce, who combined for 19 points and four threes as Dennis Gates praised their shot-making, defense and rebounding.
  • Analytics and odds favor Kentucky, including a KenPom projection of Wildcats by nine, an ESPN model giving Missouri about a 20% chance, and sportsbooks listing spreads around -13.
  • Key themes include Kentucky’s 8-1 home mark and interior scoring versus below-average three-point shooting, against a Missouri offense rated for efficiency that now faces its first true road test in five weeks.