Overview

• Ken Paxton has strongly hinted at a 2026 Senate primary challenge against John Cornyn, though he has not yet formally declared his candidacy.
• Paxton has criticized Cornyn's support for Ukraine aid and bipartisan gun legislation, framing these positions as misaligned with Texas Republican priorities.
• Polling data shows Paxton with a higher favorability rating among Texas Republicans (62%) compared to Cornyn (49%).
• Paxton believes a successful campaign would require raising $20 million and has expressed confidence in his ability to win a primary.
• Cornyn, seeking a fifth Senate term, has faced criticism from the GOP's right flank, while Paxton's profile has risen following his impeachment acquittal and legal battles on conservative issues.