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Katie Hobbs Projected to Win Second Term as Arizona Governor

Large early-ballot returns that favored Democrats produced election-night calls while counties continue counting ahead of a Nov. 23 statewide canvass.

Overview

  • Major outlets including CBS News projected Hobbs the winner after initial results released late Tuesday showed her with roughly 58–59 percent of early returns versus about 40 percent for Republican Andy Biggs.
  • More than 1.5 million Arizonans voted early in this cycle and those early ballots produced the large Democratic margins reported on election night that reporters used to call multiple statewide contests.
  • Decision Desk HQ and other outlets projected Democratic gains down-ballot, with JoAnna Mendoza leading and called ahead of Rep. Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District.
  • Officials and multiple reports stressed that election-night figures are unofficial, counties will keep processing ballots in the days after Election Day, and the Arizona Secretary of State schedules the official statewide canvass for November 23, 2026.
  • The outcome preserves Democratic control of Arizona’s executive offices and could shape policy debates on water, Medicaid and taxes while carrying national political weight given the state’s recent swing between parties.