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Kast Opens 20-Point Lead in Chile Runoff Poll Two Weeks Before Vote

A fresh AtlasIntel snapshot shows Kast pulling away, with disapproval of President Boric cited as a key headwind for Jara.

Overview

  • Latam Pulse/AtlasIntel finds José Antonio Kast at 56.9% versus Jeannette Jara at 35–35.5%, with 8.1% undecided or planning to void ballots.
  • The survey interviewed 9,012 voters from November 22–27 using Atlas RDR and carries a ±1 percentage point margin of error.
  • Support for Kast has widened since October, when he polled at 47% against Jara’s 39%, indicating a sharp late-campaign shift.
  • AtlasIntel reports Boric’s government disapproval at 63.9%, with concerns over crime, corruption, immigration and housing weighing on Jara.
  • The runoff is set for December 14; despite Jara leading the first round, Kast has consolidated right-wing backing as his team outlines rapid 90‑day actions on border security, ‘critical’ area upgrades and a 400,000‑home pledge under tight fiscal and congressional constraints.