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Kashmir’s Snow Drought Deepens as Rivers Recede and Fire Risk Rises

Forecasters expect little to no precipitation until at least December 20.

Overview

  • Meteorological officials report about an 85% precipitation deficit from November 1 to December 9, with only 6 mm recorded against a 43 mm normal.
  • The Kashmir division is hardest hit, with districts such as Shopian and Kulgam near 90% shortfalls, and the Jhelum at Sangam down to −0.59 ft below the zero-gauge level.
  • Local reports cite drinking-water shortages in Baramulla and Kupwara as irrigation flows shrink across key channels.
  • Forest authorities and observers describe a string of wildfire incidents across vulnerable belts, including serious outbreaks in parts of Kupwara.
  • Meteorologists link the dry spell to weak western disturbances and broader climate variability and say no significant snowfall is likely in the plains before December 20.