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Kamala Harris Leads Hypothetical California Governor Poll as Voter Opinions Divide

New poll shows Harris with 31% support in a potential 2026 primary, but half of voters are undecided or unsure if she should run.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a memorial ceremony for former President Jimmy Carter in the Rotunda at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 7, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the American Federation of Teachers 88th National Convention in Houston, Texas on July 25, 2024.
California Governor Gavin Newsom speaks during a news conference at Gemperle Orchard on April 16, 2025 in Ceres, California.
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Overview

  • A new Emerson College/Inside California Politics/The Hill poll places Kamala Harris at 31% support in a hypothetical 2026 California gubernatorial primary, leading all other candidates.
  • The poll reveals an electorate evenly split on Harris's potential candidacy, with 50% in favor of her running and 50% opposed.
  • Katie Porter, currently polling at 8%, sees her support among Democrats rise from 13% to 21% if Harris does not enter the race.
  • Thirty-nine percent of likely voters remain undecided, highlighting significant uncertainty over the crowded Democratic field.
  • Harris has not officially declared her candidacy but is expected to decide by the end of summer, leaving other contenders in a holding pattern.