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Kalshi Gains Partial Legal Victory in Nevada Over Sports Prediction Markets

A federal judge grants Kalshi a temporary injunction, allowing operations to continue in Nevada as the broader legal battle over state versus federal regulation unfolds.

Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour at StrictlyVC 2025.

Overview

  • Kalshi secured a temporary restraining order and preliminary injunction from a federal judge, enabling it to maintain its sports prediction markets in Nevada during ongoing litigation.
  • The Nevada Gaming Commission's counterclaims to immediately halt Kalshi's operations were rejected by the court, marking a significant procedural win for the company.
  • Kalshi argues that its status as a federally regulated platform under the CFTC and Commodity Exchange Act exempts it from state gambling laws, a claim central to the legal dispute.
  • Six states, including Nevada, New Jersey, and Illinois, have issued cease-and-desist orders, asserting that Kalshi's sports markets constitute unlicensed gambling under state law.
  • The outcome of the legal battle could set a precedent for whether prediction markets are regulated federally as derivatives or fall under state gambling laws, potentially reshaping the U.S. sports betting landscape.