Overview

• In an online Ipsos-La Tribune Dimanche poll conducted July 9–10 among 1,000 French adults, Macron’s approval climbed three points to 24% and Bayrou’s rose two points to 19%.
• Bruno Retailleau remains the highest-rated minister at 36% approval, but his presidential potential rating fell four points since June.
• 42% of respondents favor dissolving the National Assembly and 31% oppose it, with the remainder undecided.
• Rassemblement National supporters are the most enthusiastic for dissolution, with 51% in favor despite Marine Le Pen’s judicial ban from running.
• Macron’s modest rebound is driven in part by a 15% surge in approval among ecological sympathizers.