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July 5 Megaquake Prediction Fails as Minor Quakes Persist and Tourism Recovers

Authorities are urging scientific preparedness now that the manga’s July 5 cataclysm has passed without incident, with minor tremors continuing and travel gradually rebounding

An aerial view shows a ferry carrying residents and visitors evacuating from Akuseki Island, as multiple earthquakes hit the island in Japan.
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A sales banner written by the store reading 'Whether you believe it or not is up to you' is displayed next to the comic book titled 'The Future I saw', authored by manga artist Ryo Tatsuki, on the shelf at the book store Village Vanguard in Tokyo, Japan June 30, 2025. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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Overview

  • July 5 passed without the predicted magnitude-8 megaquake or tsunami from Ryo Tatsuki’s manga prophecy
  • Over 1,000 tremors have rattled the Tokara Islands since late June, though none have caused major damage
  • The Japan Meteorological Agency and seismologists stress that precise earthquake prediction remains impossible
  • Inbound travel to Japan is showing early recovery after May cancellations, even as some flights and bookings are still down
  • A government panel warns of an 80% chance of a magnitude-9 Nankai Trough quake by 2055, reinforcing long-term preparedness efforts