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JSW Cement Trades Near IPO Price as Motilal Oswal Initiates Neutral Rating

Motilal Oswal starts coverage at Neutral on concerns over heavy capex, elevated leverage.

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Overview

  • Shares hovered around Rs 150 on Tuesday, placing the market value near Rs 20,286 crore after a debut at roughly a 4% premium on August 14.
  • Motilal Oswal set a Rs 163 target and called valuation fair at 15x Sep’27E EV/EBITDA versus a current multiple near 16x.
  • The brokerage projects about Rs 5,600 crore of capex in FY26–28 led by the Rajasthan integrated unit and new grinding capacity, with net debt/EBITDA around 3x by FY28.
  • It models revenue and EBITDA CAGRs of 19% and 31% through FY28 with a return to profit in FY26 after a FY25 loss, supported by growth in cement and GGBS volumes.
  • The Rs 3,600 crore IPO drew strong demand across QIB, NII and retail tranches, and fresh proceeds are earmarked for the Nagaur plant and debt reduction.