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JPMorgan Sees Only Modest Inflows for U.S. Solana ETFs as SEC Decisions Loom

Market gauges suggest much of any ETF bump is already priced in.

Overview

  • JPMorgan projects roughly $1.5 billion of first‑year net inflows into spot Solana funds, far below Ethereum’s take and a fraction of Bitcoin’s.
  • Analysts cite waning on‑chain activity, heavy memecoin trading, investor fatigue, competition from diversified crypto index products, and corporate treasuries as key headwinds.
  • Weak positioning in CME Solana futures signals limited institutional interest ahead of potential launches, according to the bank.
  • The premium on Grayscale’s Solana Trust has fallen from about 750% last year to near zero, echoing the pre‑launch pattern seen in Bitcoin and Ethereum products.
  • The SEC is expected to rule on a batch of spot crypto ETF filings in October, and one Solana ETF approved in June logged about $12 million on its first day.