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JPMorgan Lifts Coinbase to Overweight on Base and USDC Monetization

Optimism ahead of next week's Q3 report is reinforced by signs of progress on U.S. crypto rules.

Overview

  • JPMorgan upgraded Coinbase from Neutral to Overweight and raised its price target to $404, citing new revenue levers and reduced perceived regulatory risk.
  • Shares jumped on Friday, rising as much as about 9% intraday to roughly $353, according to market reports.
  • The bank flagged a potential Base network token as a key upside, estimating a $12–$34 billion market value with $4–$12 billion potentially accruing to Coinbase; a token has not been confirmed.
  • JPMorgan said Coinbase’s plan to segment USDC yields through Coinbase One could add about $1 per share in annual earnings, or roughly $374 million, depending on rates and adoption.
  • CEO Brian Armstrong signaled bipartisan momentum on market‑structure legislation, and analysts expect Q3 results on Oct. 30 with forecasts around $1.06 EPS and $1.74 billion in revenue.