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Joshua–Paul Fight Gains Momentum With Saudi Backing and 50/50 Odds

Propelled by Saudi investment, negotiations have reached a 50/50 probability even as insiders raise serious safety concerns.

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Overview

  • Eddie Hearn says the bout is “very real” and estimates its likelihood at 50/50 after talks with Jake Paul’s camp
  • A July 30 meeting between Hearn and Paul adviser Nakisa Bidarian convinced promoters of Paul’s genuine desire to make the fight
  • Saudi sports powerbroker Turki Alalshikh’s financial backing has added fresh urgency to matchroom-led discussions
  • Trainer Ben Davison and other insiders warn that the size and experience gap creates a dangerously mismatched contest
  • Teams are targeting an early-2026 date with venues ranging from Wembley Stadium to Saudi arenas and Tony Yoka has emerged as an alternate challenger