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Jones Text Scandal Jolts Virginia Races as Polls Diverge

Late polling shows Democratic slippage following the Jones revelations.

Overview

  • Published 2022 texts show Democratic attorney general nominee Jay Jones fantasizing about killing then–House Speaker Todd Gilbert, including writing that Gilbert would get “two bullets to the head.”
  • A new Trafalgar Group survey reported by WSBT shows Jones dropping to 43.1% with Republican incumbent Jason Miyares at 48.9%, down from a Jones lead in earlier polling.
  • In the governor’s race, Cygnal and Trafalgar now show Abigail Spanberger’s lead over Winsome Earle-Sears narrowing to low single digits, while Wason Center and Emerson still find a roughly 10-point Spanberger advantage.
  • At last week’s debate, Spanberger declined to say whether she still endorses Jones, a moment Republicans have highlighted in new ads as Earle-Sears presses culture-war attacks.
  • Earle-Sears is emphasizing transgender access in schools as Spanberger defers to local decision-making, and with early voting underway and ballot deadlines passed, Jones remains on the ticket as Democratic leaders condemn his words but largely keep their support in place.