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JOLTS Shows Openings Edge Higher as Hiring Slumps and Layoffs Rise, Steering Fed Cut

The mixed report helped tip the Fed toward a cautious rate cut.

Overview

  • Job openings ticked up to 7.67 million in October, slightly above expectations and roughly flat from September.
  • Hiring fell by 218,000 to 5.149 million as the quits rate slid to 1.8% with 2.9 million quits, a multi‑year low signaling waning worker confidence.
  • Layoffs climbed to about 1.85–1.9 million, the highest since early 2023, with heavier cuts in leisure and hospitality and in manufacturing.
  • A 43‑day government shutdown delayed and distorted labor releases, folding September into October JOLTS and suspending a BLS alignment method, and no October unemployment rate will be issued.
  • Initial jobless claims jumped by 44,000 to 236,000 last week amid seasonal adjustment noise as the Fed cut rates 25 basis points to 3.50%–3.75% and signaled patience for clearer data.