Overview

• The May 29, 2024 video by Beijing-based educator and Yale alumnus Jiang Xueqin has gone viral again as his forecasts appear to mirror current U.S.-Iran tensions
• Jiang compared a hypothetical U.S. invasion of Iran under President Trump to Athens’ ill-fated Sicilian Expedition, warning of logistical collapse and fierce local resistance
• He predicted Washington and Tel Aviv would invoke Iran’s nuclear program to justify military action, with Iranians uniting behind their government rather than revolting
• He suggested a false-flag domestic terror attack blamed on Iran could be used to manipulate U.S. public opinion and asserted that occupying Iran would require at least three million troops
• He also forecast that Russian President Vladimir Putin could capitalize on U.S. distraction in Iran to pursue his own strategic goals in other theatres