Overview
- ACM Neto (União Brasil) publicly launched his 2026 gubernatorial run on Dec. 22 in Porto Seguro with PL leader Valdemar Costa Neto voicing support.
- He pledged opposition to the PT at the national level, positioning himself as the leading challenger to the party’s long grip on Bahia.
- Bahia governor Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) affirmed his pre-candidacy, discounted polling that shows him behind, and said his priority remains governing.
- Recent Real Time Big Data and Genial/Quaest surveys indicate Neto leading or competitive against Jerônimo in hypothetical 2026 matchups.
- In 2022 Jerônimo beat Neto 52.8% to 47.2% after a late shift linked to Lula’s strong vote in Bahia, a precedent shaping both strategies for 2026.