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Jefferson Details 2026 Economic Outlook as Federal Data Return

He emphasized data-dependent analysis following the disruption to official statistics.

Overview

  • Philip N. Jefferson delivered prepared remarks at Florida Atlantic University outlining his assessment of the economy at the start of 2026.
  • He said the gradual restoration of federal data, interrupted by last year's funding lapse, has made forming the outlook easier.
  • He highlighted reliance on Federal Reserve, state, and private-sector data to supplement gaps and inform policy judgments.
  • The speech laid out three areas of focus: the outlook, implications for the path of monetary policy, and recent developments in monetary policy implementation.
  • He noted that the remarks reflect his own views, and the BIS published the speech with a disclaimer that it does not represent institutional positions.