Overview
- Vice President JD Vance commands 40% support in preliminary 2028 GOP primary polls, outpacing Ron DeSantis at 8% and Donald Trump Jr. at 7%.
- Early frontrunners in wide-open Republican primaries have gone on to win the nomination 63% of the time since 1980.
- Historically, sitting vice presidents have secured their party’s nomination in every contest dating back to 1960.
- Analysts say a formal endorsement from President Donald Trump could effectively lock in Vance’s advantage.
- Polling experts caution that the race remains in its infancy and support levels may shift as new candidates enter the field.