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JD Vance Holds 40% Lead in Early 2028 Republican Nomination Poll

CNN data shows Vance's 40% polling share positions him to capitalize on historical patterns favoring early GOP frontrunners with a boost from a Trump endorsement.

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Overview

  • Vice President JD Vance commands 40% support in preliminary 2028 GOP primary polls, outpacing Ron DeSantis at 8% and Donald Trump Jr. at 7%.
  • Early frontrunners in wide-open Republican primaries have gone on to win the nomination 63% of the time since 1980.
  • Historically, sitting vice presidents have secured their party’s nomination in every contest dating back to 1960.
  • Analysts say a formal endorsement from President Donald Trump could effectively lock in Vance’s advantage.
  • Polling experts caution that the race remains in its infancy and support levels may shift as new candidates enter the field.