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Jasmine Crockett Launches Texas Senate Bid, Reordering 2026 Democratic Primary

New reporting points to national Republicans promoting her through polling and digital outreach, with GOP skeptics casting doubt on her statewide viability.

Overview

  • Crockett filed on the final day and will face state Rep. James Talarico in a March 3 Democratic primary after Colin Allred exited to run for a newly drawn House seat.
  • Her announcement leaned on a viral video featuring President Donald Trump’s insults as she cast her run as a direct challenge to him and to Sen. John Cornyn.
  • NOTUS reported that the NRSC helped elevate Crockett by commissioning polls that included her and seeding pro‑Crockett signals in progressive spaces, a claim echoed by Raw Story; Crockett cited favorable polling in explaining her decision.
  • Republicans quickly panned her chances, with Cornyn predicting she won’t top 42% statewide and Trump calling her candidacy a “gift to Republicans,” as Cornyn faces primary challenges from Ken Paxton and Wesley Hunt.
  • BetOnline’s latest odds moved Crockett to favorite in the Democratic primary, listed Paxton ahead of Cornyn on the GOP side, and continued to price a Republican as the overall favorite in November 2026.