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Japan's Ruling LDP Poised to Choose Next Leader Ahead of Mid-October Diet Vote

Opposition discord leaves the LDP winner strongly positioned to become prime minister.

Overview

  • Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba remains in office until parliament selects his successor in an extraordinary session planned for Oct. 14 or later.
  • The LDP presidential election is scheduled for Saturday, and the party’s new leader is expected to be confirmed as prime minister.
  • Shinjiro Koizumi and Sanae Takaichi lead the race, with Yoshimasa Hayashi positioned as a prominent alternative alongside trailing contenders.
  • The LDPKomeito coalition no longer holds majorities in either chamber, yet the CDP, JIP and DPP have stalled on a joint candidate, reducing prospects for an opposition takeover.
  • Koizumi’s campaign faces allegations of orchestrated online praise that prompted an ally’s resignation and followed death threats and a bomb scare, while the race has been marked by controversy over gaffes.