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Japan’s Ruling Coalition Falls Short of Majority as Sanseitō Surge Reshapes Upper House

Prime Minister Ishiba vows to stay on after the election as US-Japan trade negotiations continue

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Overview

  • The LDP-Komeito alliance won the most seats in the 248-member chamber but fell short of the 125 needed for a majority, threatening to stall its policy agenda.
  • Sanseitō’s unexpected haul of 10 seats grants it the power to introduce bills without budget proposals, making it a pivotal force in legislative negotiations.
  • Komeito failed to secure any district seats for the first time since 2007, marking its worst performance in 18 years and reflecting voter discontent with the coalition.
  • The Constitutional Democratic Party met its seat targets to remain the main opposition but faces a fragmented upper house that could limit its influence on government policy.
  • The Japan Innovation Party retained its existing seats and ruled out joining the ruling bloc, forcing the coalition to seek ad hoc support from smaller parties.