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Japan’s R&I Lifts India’s Sovereign Rating to BBB+, Marking Third 2025 Upgrade

The agency cites growth driven by domestic demand, fiscal consolidation and stronger external buffers.

Overview

  • Rating and Investment Information raised India’s long-term sovereign rating to BBB+ from BBB and kept the outlook Stable, the latest in a series of 2025 upgrades.
  • R&I pointed to robust domestic demand, a supportive demographic profile and policy reforms, noting fiscal deficit reduction via buoyant tax receipts and subsidy rationalisation.
  • External resilience was highlighted through a modest current account deficit, steady services and remittance surpluses, low external debt-to-GDP and adequate foreign exchange reserves.
  • The agency acknowledged risks from recent U.S. tariff increases and GST rationalisation effects but said India’s limited export reliance on the U.S. and domestic-demand-led growth should contain the impact.
  • R&I affirmed the foreign-currency short-term rating at a-2 and referenced solid growth prints—6.5% in FY2024 and 7.8% in April–June 2025—with the RBI projecting 6.5% growth for FY2025.