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Japan’s LDP-Komeito Coalition Loses Majority in Both Houses

Prime Minister Ishiba vows to stay on through U.S. tariff talks despite growing dissent within his party.

Overview

  • The coalition secured only 47 of 125 contested upper house seats on July 20, falling three short of the 50 needed to retain a majority.
  • This outcome leaves the LDP and its partner Komeito governing as a minority in both the 465-member lower house and the 248-seat upper house for the first time since 1955.
  • Right-wing populist Sanseito increased its upper house representation from one to 14 seats, positioning itself as a key swing faction.
  • Some senior LDP figures, including former Prime Minister Taro Aso, have publicly questioned Ishiba’s leadership and urged a change at the top.
  • Without a clear majority, Ishiba’s government must broker support for each bill and budget on an issue-by-issue basis, complicating efforts to address inflation and impending U.S. tariffs.